Asset-quality review: falling NPL ratios hide rising vulnerabilities
We expect non-performing loans to rise in 2023 as inflation and higher interest rates weigh on demand and profits. Rising NPLs this year and beyond will reverse the trend of the past decade, which has seen euro area banks significantly reduce bad loan stocks through securitisations and asset disposals. “For 2023, we expect headwinds in all types of loan portfolios”, Saldias highlighted. “They may take some time to show up in headline asset-quality ratios but early signs of deterioration are already visible in faster-moving asset-quality metrics such as Stage 2 loan classifications under IFRS 9”.
https://www.scoperatings.com/ratings-and-research/research/EN/174104 |